Conviction Meter

Put your conviction points where your mouth is. Stake on your investment theses and earn 3x if you're right. Separates signal from noise.

1250
Total Points
285
Currently Staked
67%
Win Rate
8W/4L
Record
Available Conviction Points
965 / 1250

965 points available to stake

Active Stakes (2)

Active
100× 3

S&P 500 will reach 6000 by end of 2025

Progress85%
Target: 12/31/2025
Active
50× 3

10-year Treasury yields will exceed 5%

Progress45%
Target: 6/30/2025

History

Won
75× 3

Bitcoin will drop below $50,000

Target: 3/31/2025+225 points
Lost
60× 3

Gold will outperform equities in Q1

Target: 3/31/2025-60 points
How Conviction Meter Works

Make a Thesis

State your investment prediction with a clear target and date

Stake Points

Put your conviction points at risk to back your thesis

Win or Learn

Earn 3x your stake if right, lose it if wrong